Taking A Look At Houston & Memphis Tournament Profiles

The American Conference is looking more and more like a two bid league, but if they want to get any more teams in the NCAA Tournament they will need Houston and Memphis do play well down the stretch. 


Houston's Profile:
Record: 16-7
RPI: 60
SOS 71
KenPom: 43
Good Wins: Rhode Island
Bad Losses: UCF, Harvard

Houston simply doesn't have enough good wins.  The Cougars are 1-3 against the Top 50 in RPI so they have had their chances.  According to bracketmatrix.com which tracks the top 84 bracketologist in the nation, just 5 of the 84 currently have the Cougars in.

Houston in certainly still in play for an at large bid because they still have some big games left.  The Cougars still play the top three teams in the conference; @ #11 Cincy vs, #25 SMU, and @ Memphis. Throw in the the AAC Tournament and the Cougars could still make a run at the tournament.

In their last 7 games Houston must beat Tulane, ECU, UConn, and Tulsa.  They probably need to win at least 2/3 of Cincinnati, SMU, and Memphis.  One more bad loss and the Cougars are out of consideration for the NCAA Tournament.

Memphis' Profile:
Record:  17-7
RPI: 83
SOS: 163
KenPom: 85
Good Wins: South Carolina
Bad Losses: UCF, Tulsa

At first glance, Houston's numbers a lot better than Memphis, but the Tigers beat Houston on the road.  On Bracketmatrix.com just 2 out of 84 bracketologist have Memphis in. Just like Houston, Memphis also has some opportunities upcoming. Memphis' loss to UCF on Saturday hurt them bad.

They also will play Cincy and SMU who are both ranked and Memphis will have to beat both to get in I believe.  In their final 7 games Tubby Smith's team has to go 6-1 and if that happens they still will have to get into the finals of the AAC Championship.

Although it seems unlikely, last year Tulsa got in and had a worse profile than both of these teams.  Regardless, Memphis and Houston has to win.  When they meet on Febuary 26th it may be an elimination game.